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Insight
Maximizing The Potential Of The UK’s AI Sector:
UK Business Environment
Artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly transforming our economy and the way we live and work. As Covid-19 continues to challenge economies across the globe, AI has the potential to be a crucial driving force in the UK’s recovery.
Ranked 3rd in the world on the global AI index, the UK is well placed to build on its comparative advantage, but there is a still a need, according to the Government’s expert advisory committee, the AI Council, for a national strategy.
Lexington advises companies on all aspects of the Government’s industrial strategy, how it develops and how it can be shaped to meet the industry needs of tomorrow.
We have interviewed politicians, business leaders and policy experts, from across our extensive network to inform this insight series, exploring how the UK’s AI sector is evolving, the challenges facing the industry, and what is needed from government and business to maximise the potential of AI, and support the UK’s recovery.
In the first instalment, we explore the UK business environment for AI. Speaking prior to the Covid-19 crisis, our interviewees told us the sector has seen significant growth across the UK, due to investment, talent and innovation. However, they also identified several challenges for AI, including the difficulty in scaling businesses beyond start-up phase.
What explains the rapid growth in British-based AI SMEs in the past decade?
The UK’s AI sector is a success story. In the five years to 2019, £2.42bn was raised from VC investment into AI and deep tech companies, the third highest in the world behind the US and China, and just ahead of Israel (Tech Nation Report 2020, Dealroom).
Our experts told us that this is because of access to a pipeline of talent, skills and research, alongside reducing the costs of computing power to lower the barriers of entry to the market.
‘New applications of machine learning are becoming possible thanks to the global expansion in the availability of computer power made much cheaper by new cloud services and more powerful chips and supported by increasingly sophisticated tools and datasets. A skills shift over the last five years has meant the UK has benefitted in particular: students and PhD candidates with a strong mathematics base are leading innovation in machine learning’
James Wise, Balderton Capital
What explains the European dominance of the UK’s ‘golden triangle’ as an AI hub?
The ‘golden triangle’ of London, Oxford and Cambridge is a significant driver of UK economic activity and holds a dominant position in the European AI community. The relationship between the UK’s world-leading universities and industrial developers in the technology has been critical to the growth and success of the UK’s AI sector so far.
Industry experts point to the success of early London-based AI companies such as DeepMind as contributing to a natural acceleration: successful companies pull in others of equal ambition and benefit from a critical mass of AI talent. Moreover, our contributors said tax incentives and the ease of setting up in the UK have played a key role in encouraging visitors to set up here after their studies.
‘Tractable’s founders very much came out of the body of machine learning expertise built within UK universities. They created a company in London as it’s actually a great place to start a business. There’s access to investors, a very strong ecosystem, and a supportive research and development tax scheme which is extremely important to AI. It’s an open city that attracts talented people from all over the world.’
Norval Scott, Tractable
‘There are many incentives for someone to move to the UK to start their business. Capital definitely plays a part: securing financial backing is a major step, and investors who back and understand deep tech are few and far between. The UK has built an increasingly solid track record here, with investors like Amadeus Capital, IQ Capital LocalGlobe, Crane VC, Luminous Ventures, and others paving the way forward. Talent is probably the most important aspect though, both in terms of those with technical expertise, but also those with a commercial understand of how one sells a deep tech product: finding people at the cutting-edge of what they do is especially challenging. You need to go where you can to find talented employees and the UK has a strength here with world-leading universities across the country and globally competitive research.’
Harry Rhys Davies, TechNation
Will AI expertise spread beyond the ‘golden triangle’?
Although the Golden Triangle has been the predominant catalyst for AI, it is spreading across the UK. Our experts are enthusiastic about the economic impact this could have across UK nations and regions. There is also an expectation that the Government’s strategy for AI should incorporate universities beyond the ‘Golden Triangle’, which can play a vital role thanks to their position in the research and skills ecosystem.
‘There are opportunities to say that [AI will spread geographically] because unlike finance or modern software development, many AI developments are still originating in academia. … The government could strike a balance by catalysing more hubs, for example by funding more machine learning PhDs outside of the golden triangle.’
James Wise, Balderton Capital
‘The London hub is driving the market, but we shouldn’t underestimate how much is happening outside of London too. Around Manchester and the remit of the Northern Powerhouse, a lot of start-ups are starting to come through. In Edinburgh, we work very closely with the University who have invested heavily in getting AI capability embedded in regional governments. Through the City Deal, devolved governments have also invested in developing talent in the regions.’
Ed Mitchell, EY
‘It’s definitely a conversation that’s happening outside of London, but historically the data shows that the majority of start-ups are based in London. Look at the Universities that are affiliated with the Alan Turing Institute: Warwick, Leeds, Manchester… these can act as springboards for new companies.’
Katherine, TechUK
Given the rapid growth of UK start-ups, why are we still so bad at scaling up?
AI is still relatively young. The lack of scale-up companies can be explained in part by the maturity of the market, while progress has happened more quickly when AI has been applied to some sectors than others. However, many contributors to our research also pointed to a structural problem with scaling up: the tax system, incentives for growth and access to SME funding.
Our experts also told us how, in order to succeed and scale up, AI start-ups must embed their technology into other UK sectors. However, this often requires substantial collaboration between a start-up and an established company, something which AI has often struggled to achieve. Larger companies can be slow to move and there is an element of scepticism and low risk appetite when it comes to the relatively new concept of AI:
‘The UK has a history of fantastic innovation, but not a history of turning that into global blockbuster companies. The rules around corporate governance for companies in the UK mean that it isn’t attractive enough to go public in the UK rather than the US. Secondly, the incentives for building companies beyond a certain size – for example tax rules – need to be looked at. Currently it makes sense to build to a certain size and then stop. The government should create incentives to encourage people to build and scale … At the minute a UK company is much easier to acquire from either Europe or the US … we’re at a disadvantage if we want to expand into other markets.’
Paul Drayson, Sensyne Health
‘Some of the problems are quite common across organisations. For example lots of organisations have started the journey and have had successes at delivering [AI] projects on a small scale but really struggle to scale up across the whole organisation … It’s considered an IT delivery project rather than a business change project.’
Ed Mitchell, EY
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The is the first in a series of insight pieces from Lexington on AI in the UK economy. The next will focus on the sector’s skills and education requirements and how Government and industry need to collaborate to meet future needs.
Come and talk to us if you would like to ensure your business is best positioned to engage in the debate and shape the future of industrial policy for the AI and the wider technology sector. Our ongoing advice and expertise on policy, comms, digital and campaigns will help get your priorities on the table. We will help you work with the Government agenda where possible, but be prepared to campaign where business priorities diverge, to talk to Opposition parties, and especially to engage backbenchers to explain how these priorities will help jobs and investment in their local areas.
Contact us.
stefano.gortana@lexcomm.co.uk
07791 8476
amy.condliffe@lexcomm.co.uk
07755 727 7932